Professor of the European Institute of Economics and Political Sciences (LSE). Dr. Iain Begg said that Britain, which came out of the European Union (EU) 5 years ago (EU) in the field of economic and migration, could not find that it was waiting.
LONDON (AA) – Behlül Çetinkaya – Britain’s separation from the EU (Brexit) was a thought that was expressed by the marginal groups in the 1990s, while the 2008 global economic crisis caused this idea to be expressed by the mainstream politicians.
Britain (Britain) and exit (exit) derived from the words “Brexit” for the first time British influence (British Influence), the former president of the thinking organization Peter Wilding in 2012 appeared in the article.
Wilding said Brexit will become inevitable if Britain is not a leader in the EU.
There were changes in voter behaviors during the period when Wilding’s statements of “saving England from the EU bureaucracy” and öyle re -addressing control ”.
Extreme right -wing Nigel Farage’s United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP), who advocated the departure of the EU, became effective in politics by increasing its votes according to surveys. UKIP erected his eyes to the voters in ruling conservative party voters.
David Cameron, Prime Minister of the Conservative Party of the period, who did not want to lose his base to UKIP, promised to leave the EU in 2017 as a promise in the May 7, 2015 elections.
After the conservative party appeared as the first party as the first party, the date of June 23, 2016 was determined as a referendum day for Brexit.
– British people chose to leave the EU with 52 percent
During the campaign process, the parties defended to stay in the EU to a large extent. UKIP, one of the national parties, certainly defending Brexit, while the conservative party did not announce a party institutional.
Nevertheless, Foreign Minister Boris Johnson, one of the leading names of the party, carried out campaigns that strongly advocate leaving the EU.
The United Kingdom people used the vote in favor of Brexit with 52 percent, but leaving the EU took 4 years of England. During this period, England, 3 early elections, 3 prime minister changed.
Boris Johnson, the third prime minister of the Brexit process, became ruling alone in the early elections in December 2019, and then received approval from the House of Commons, the House of Lords and the Queen Elizabeth in January 2020 for the Brexit agreement with the EU.
Although the UK actually left the EU on the last day of 2019, the official separation took place on 31 January 2020.
– “My passport after Brexit is already full”
Professor of the European Institute of Economics and Political Sciences (LSE). Dr. According to Iain Begg, Brexit had positive and negative effects on both the EU and the UK.
Begg, who evaluated Brexit’s 5th year and expectations to the AA correspondent, said that the trade and cooperation agreement signed immediately after Brexit was negotiated very quickly and did not cover some issues.
Despite the exit from the Common Market, a free trade agreement with the EU is a positive development for the UK, Stating that Begg, the border controls were also taken into the hands of the UK, he said.
Begg underlined that the number of irregular immigrants coming to England has increased by 3 times since Brexit, “One of the slogans of the Brexit campaign period was that 75 million Turks would enter the EU first and then to England. Of course it was nonsense, but there was such a slogan. ” he said.
Stating that the agreement on fishing has been signed for 5.5 years and will be discussed again in the future, Begg said, “Countries in Continental Europe want to protect fishing rights. In order to protect this, they want the British fishing industry to be withdrawn. Therefore, there is a concern that this issue will need to be reconsidered by adding a article to the Trade and Cooperation Agreement within the next one or two years and that it may lead to new discussions. ” made the evaluation.
Begg also mentioned Brexit’s negative effects in the travel area and counted it among the biggest problems that Britain had to solve.
Begg showing his passport, “ My passport after Brexit is already full. Because whenever I go to the Schengen area, my passport is stamped. However, the same is not applied when the EU citizens come to England, and they freely enter the electronic doors and passports without stamping.The passport I bought after Brexit is already full. This is one of the asymmetric consequences of the interviews held at that time. ” He said.
Stating that the Windsor Framework Agreement between the EU and England last year has solved some problems, Begg said that the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland is one of them.
– “England lost in trade”
Begg, underlining that the biggest problem began in the field of economy, due to new applications and border controls due to 5 to 7 percent loss in national income reported.
Begg pointed out that the expectation that Brexit would form a new maneuverability in international agreements to the UK. “British lost in trade. It will face more commercial obstacles than the period in which the EU, the largest commercial partner, will face more commercial obstacles. ” made the evaluation.
Begg said that qualified immigrants left the country after Brexit, and that non-qualified immigrants with a more crowded family came, and that the situation for the EU came to the point of “loss-kaybet”.
“The EU economy is smaller without the UK, the UK economy is smaller without EU.” Begg, the security in the field of security stressed that the mutual loss.
Begg evaluated the desire to establish better relations with the EU, the Labor Party government, who took office in the UK in July, said, “First of all, there was a tone change. (Former prime ministers) Under the leadership of Boris Johnson and Liz Truss, the hostile attitude towards the EU is over. The ton change made cooperation more possible for both sides. ” he said.
Begg said that Britain did not have a plan to join the EU and that EU countries did not look hot to take the UK to the Union, and that Britain pursued new agreements under the leadership of Prime Minister Keir Starmer.
Stating that the export of goods and services is the most important of these, Begg stressed that there is also the removal of travel restrictions on the table.
Begg said that cooperation is also important for irregular migration, a global problem, and said, “This has become a political problem that countries have to solve.” he said.
Reminding that Britain returned to the table with the Russian-Ukraine war, which is outside the EU policies in the field of defense, Begg said, “This area is an area that Britain can contribute to the EU.” He said.
– “New leaders are a threat to Europe”
Begg underlined that the EU economy is a difficult period and said that EU relations will slowly recover during this period.
Noting that the UK and Germany is obliged to turn to infrastructure investments, Begg said that more growth, investment and cooperation will come with relaxation in monetary policies.
Begg stressed that the elections in Germany will significantly affect the relations between Union and England.
Starmer and Spain Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez’in in the face of the rise of the extreme right in Europe has become the rare leaders in the center, “We are currently facing a mixed political painting. Unlike the last 30 years, we are a structure against international cooperation. ” he said.
Begg stated that Starmer should be more careful in his contacts with new mainstream politics and said, “Starmer will be careful while trying to develop a strategy to deal with these newcomers, including the new resident of the White House, because this is for the whole Europe a threat. ” commented.
